Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1751 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

UA 1751 · IAH → GUA

departs 9:34 AM CT · arrives 12:25 PM CST

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GUA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ IAH is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from IAH are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GUA

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

GUA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1751 · IAH → GUA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUA?