Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2143 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

UA 2143 · EWR → SJU

departs 8:41 AM ET · arrives 1:40 PM AT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SJU that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2143 · EWR → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?