Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2425 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow

UA 2425 · IAD → CHS

departs 12:41 PM ET · arrives 2:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ Arrivals into CHS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2425 · IAD → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?