UA 2472 · RSW → ORD

departs 2:15 PM ET · arrives 4:33 PM CT

Your aircraft is N14521 (A21N), coming in as UA 661 from ORD: landed 12:40 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ 2pm departures from RSW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2472 · RSW → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?