UA 2812 · OKC → DEN

departs 8:57 AM CT · arrives 9:44 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2812 · OKC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?