Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3908 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow

UA 3908 · BWI → IAH

departs 12:52 PM ET · arrives 3:48 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3908 · BWI → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?