Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

VIVA AEROBUS · FLIGHT VB 623 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:15 AM PT, ETA 5:50 AM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, November 10 Today

VB 623 · LAX → MTY

took off 1:15 AM PT · expected to land 5:50 AM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into MTY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MTY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 623 · LAX → MTY

Odds over time