Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1133 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, November 10

WN 1133 · DAL → TUL

departs 10:11 AM CT · arrives 11:30 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

TUL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1133 · DAL → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?