WN 1638 · DTW → DEN

took off 4:13 PM ET · expected to land 4:50 PM MT (scheduled 4:10 PM ET → 5:16 PM MT)

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1638 · DTW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?