Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2011
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
WN 2011 · HNL → KOA
departs 8:31 PM HT · arrives 9:35 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Mon 11/9 14%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 13%
Thu 11/12 14%
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at KOA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to KOA?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
KOA is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HNL that day
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
KOA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.