Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2242
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
WN 2242 · KOA → HNL
departs 7:01 PM HT · arrives 8:05 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Mon 11/9 12%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 12%
Thu 11/12 18%
Fri 11/13 19%
Sat 11/14 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave KOA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
KOA usually runs smoothly
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
KOA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.