WN 239 · STL → LAS

departs 3:21 PM CT · arrives 4:49 PM PT

Your aircraft is N9034R (B38M), coming in as WN 2466 from LAS: in the air, landing about 2:50 PM CT, 26 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 239 · STL → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?