Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2463 SCHEDULED

Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow

WN 2463 · MSY → AUS

departs 1:16 PM CT · arrives 2:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2463 · MSY → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?