Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2621
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
WN 2621 · LIH → HNL
departs 8:21 AM HT · arrives 9:16 AM HT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 7%
Thu 11/12 8%
Fri 11/13 9%
Sat 11/14 7%
Sun 11/15 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
3%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
8am departures from LIH are usually not late
↓
LIH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,633 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.