WN 3191 · LIT → BNA

departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 4:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

LIT (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3191 · LIT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?