Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3255
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
WN 3255 · OGG → HNL
departs 5:26 PM HT · arrives 6:22 PM HT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Mon 11/9 12%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 14%
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 21%
Sat 11/14 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
This flight has been late 6% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.