Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3260
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
WN 3260 · OGG → OAK
departs 10:26 PM HT · arrives 5:23 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 11/11 8%
Thu 11/12 11%
Fri 11/13 14%
Sat 11/14 14%
Sun 11/15 13%
Mon 11/16 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.