Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4303
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
WN 4303 · LGB → SEA
departs 10:26 AM PT · arrives 1:14 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 14%
Sat 11/14 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SEA that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.42 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.