Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4948
SCHEDULED
Tuesday, November 10 Today
WN 4948 · OKC → MCO
departs 3:11 PM CT · arrives 6:56 PM ET
Your aircraft is N7729A (B737), coming in as WN 1168 from PHX: in the air, landing about 2:48 PM CT, 18 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 11/11 14%
Thu 11/12 25%
Fri 11/13 29%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 29 min after the scheduled departure, about 17 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 13%.
+0 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 29 min after the scheduled departure, about 17 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 25%.
+3 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.