Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 5001
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Today
WN 5001 · LAS → IND
departs 1:48 PM PT · arrives 8:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.