WN 577 · PHX → LAS

departs 12:55 PM MT · arrives 1:10 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 577 · PHX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?