Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 884
SCHEDULED
Tuesday, November 10 Today
WN 884 · HOU → SAN
departs 3:16 PM CT · arrives 4:33 PM PT
Your aircraft is N8325D (B738), coming in as WN 3435 from PHX: in the air, landing about 3:04 PM CT, 7 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 11/11 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
93%
chance · ±0 pts
+31 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
93%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 56 min after the scheduled departure, about 45 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 51%.
+31 pts
93%
Yes 93%
No 7%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 56 min after the scheduled departure, about 45 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 87%.
+58 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No <1%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 56 min after the scheduled departure, about 45 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 4%.
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 4 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 9.33333 mi
Precip 0.01 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.