Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 899
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
WN 899 · SAT → TPA
departs 12:17 PM CT · arrives 3:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.06 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.