Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10 Tomorrow
WN 972 · HNL → SJC
departs 8:11 AM HT · arrives 3:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 7%
Thu 11/12 8%
Fri 11/13 8%
Sat 11/14 7%
Sun 11/15 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Arrivals into SJC at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
8am departures from HNL are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 4,400 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
SJC (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 400 ft
Visibility 0.2 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.