WN 988 · DEN → BUF

departs 3:44 PM MT · arrives 8:53 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8809L (B38M), coming in as WN 864 from BUR: in the air, landing about 2:37 PM MT, 58 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 988 · DEN → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?