Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 9
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
WN 9 · HOU → CRP
departs 11:01 AM CT · arrives 12:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at CRP that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
11am departures from HOU are often late
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into CRP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
CRP (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.