Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 3989SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
YV 3989 · IND → IAH
departs 11:35 AM ET · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 136h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Tuesday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±19 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.