Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3568
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
YX 3568 · YQB → EWR
departs 12:41 PM EST · arrives 2:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sun 11/8 25%
Mon 11/9 33%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 41%
Thu 11/12 35%
Fri 11/13 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±5 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave YQB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
YQB is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
YQB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.