Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Nov 3, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4348
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, November 10
YX 4348 · JFK → CVG
departs 11:37 AM ET · arrives 1:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sun 11/8 19%
Mon 11/9 13%
Tue 11/10
Wed 11/11 18%
Thu 11/12 23%
Fri 11/13 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from JFK are often late
↑
JFK is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Tuesdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.