9E 4896 · DTW → IND

took off 1:20 PM ET · landed 2:03 PM ET (scheduled 1:10 PM ET → 2:30 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to IND?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IND (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4896 · DTW → IND

Odds over time

How late did it get to IND?