Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5107SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
9E 5107 · LGA → GSO
departs 4:51 PM ET · arrives 6:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 141h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?
49%chance · ±51 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to GSO?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.