Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1016 LANDED 10:18 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

9K 1016 · BOS → AUG

took off 9:22 AM ET · landed 10:18 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at AUG more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↑ 9am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ AUG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUG (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1016 · BOS → AUG

Odds over time