Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1271 LANDED 8:42 AM ET, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

9K 1271 · BOS → MVY

took off 8:17 AM ET · landed 8:42 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MVY more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MVY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MVY (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1271 · BOS → MVY

Odds over time