Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1838 LANDED 4:31 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

9K 1838 · BHB → BOS

took off 3:16 PM ET · landed 4:31 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BHB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

BOS (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1838 · BHB → BOS

Odds over time