Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 505 LANDED 12:37 PM MT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

9K 505 · BIL → GGW

took off 11:31 AM MT · landed 12:37 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at GGW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 11am departures from BIL are usually not late

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GGW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 505 · BIL → GGW

Odds over time