tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1014 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1014 · DFW → TUS

departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:38 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±2 pts −8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TUS?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.