Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1524SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1524 · SBP → PHX
departs 5:56 AM PT · arrives 8:40 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±0 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.