tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1818 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

AA 1818 · LGA → RDU

departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 8:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 162h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Wednesday in November, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
62% chance · ±25 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    36%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    18%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    20%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.