AA 2539 · LAX → CMH

departs 10:54 AM PT · arrives 6:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2539 · LAX → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?