Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2823SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2823 · DFW → FAT
departs 8:32 AM CT · arrives 10:21 AM PT
Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±0 pts−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.