tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 502 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 502 · MEX → PHX

departs 4:42 PM CST · arrives 7:12 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.