Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2633 LANDED 2:13 AM CT, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, November 11 Today

AS 2633 · CVG → IAH

took off 1:08 AM ET · landed 2:13 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,433 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

IAH (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2633 · CVG → IAH

Odds over time