AS 7011 · ANC → OME

departs 8:43 AM AKT · arrives 10:23 AM AKST

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at OME more than 15 minutes late?

Not applicable chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late did it get to OME?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–
Cancelled
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at OME

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↓ Arrivals into OME at that hour are usually not late

↓ 8am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OME (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7011 · ANC → OME

Odds over time

How late did it get to OME?