tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 747 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 747 · PHX → PAE

departs 7:44 PM MT · arrives 9:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 2:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PAE?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.