Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1131
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Today
DL 1131 · ATL → IAH
departs 3:59 PM ET · arrives 5:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 11/12 20%
Fri 11/13 14%
Sat 11/14 20%
Sun 11/15 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.