Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11 Today
DL 1133 · YVR → SLC
departs 2:14 PM MST · arrives 4:33 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 11/12 14%
Fri 11/13 14%
Sat 11/14 15%
Sun 11/15 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
YVR (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,167 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.