Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 1307 · DTW → IAH
departs 12:51 PM ET · arrives 2:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 11/10 12%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 21%
Fri 11/13 18%
Sat 11/14 26%
Sun 11/15 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.66667 mi Precip 0.07 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.