Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1425 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Yesterday

DL 1425 · ATL → TPA

departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 5:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

TPA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1425 · ATL → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?