Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1485
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, November 11
DL 1485 · RSW → CVG
departs 11:37 AM ET · arrives 2:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Tue 11/10 5%
Wed 11/11
Thu 11/12 15%
Fri 11/13 13%
Sat 11/14 11%
Sun 11/15 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
7%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from RSW are often late
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CVG (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.