Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Nov 4, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1507 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, November 11 Tomorrow

DL 1507 · TRI → ATL

departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from TRI are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Wednesdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TRI (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1507 · TRI → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?